Not find credible there a year, the tycoon was able to campaign on strong anti-feeling. Now dubbed by the tenors of the Republican Party, it rivals the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in some polls.
There have always been two Americas and the world has always been blind. In France as in Europe, we love America New York, San Francisco, the great national parks of miscegenation, tolerance and innovation. But the other America, the America of the death penalty, guns, racism, the industrial suburbs and South rusty religious or isolationism, we have often underestimated, as if it did not exist . It is that of Trump, a billionaire without ideology and so contemptuous of the elites it is ready to implode the Republican Party to overcome its slogan: "Let's make America great again" ( "Let us restore to American greatness ").
Never in American electoral history, two months of a nomination convention, a candidate is left to battle with 65% unfavorable opinions. Donald Trump is not only fear a majority of Americans for what it is and what it promises. It also frightens public opinion and governments worldwide.
Russia, the only G20 countries, to have a positive image of billionaire
On the list of G20 countries, only Russia has a positive image of him and France, for example, the prospect of Trump at the White House inspired fear in nearly 3 4. surveyed on also dislodges his own camp, who is afraid to miss his third consecutive meeting with the White House (read the interview with Thomas Friedman). Former Presidents Bush, father and son, refuses to support, as the two former Republican candidates Mitt Romney and John McCain. Never seen.
The 2016 campaign is so chaotic that larger world dares to make predictions. Trump he has not proved during the primaries that he was able to bring back to the polls or hundreds of thousands of new voters? Is it not acclaimed by millions of citizens who no longer identify with the Republican Party or the Democratic Party, the said voters 'independent' and who dream of a businessman who owes nothing to anybody take with a firm hand the reins of the country, especially among the little people, the outcasts of the economic crisis?
The long road to November 8
This week, for the first time since October, a survey of the institute very seriously Rasmussen gives Donald Trump leading with 2 points against Clinton if the presidential election were held tomorrow. This very small gap on a limited sample and across the country contradicts the last 20 surveys of Americans voting intentions. It does not take into account the essential fact of this election being played state by state through indirect suffrage electoral votes.
However, in four of those States that will prove decisive in November (those where Barack Obama won or lost only narrowly to face Mitt Romney in 2012), Hillary Clinton's favorite. Only 3 points in Ohio's Republican Governor John Kasich; 9 North Carolina; 13 in Florida and 15 in Pennsylvania. It could even steal Arizona Senator John McCain, who has always voted Republican since 1952, except once in 1996 for the re-election ... Bill Clinton.
Except that by November 8, the road is long. According to the Rasmussen poll, twice as many Democrats as Republicans could switch sides depending on the turn of events. The FBI investigation of the emails of former Secretary of State, the possibility of an attack or other tragic episode in the US, the results of the economy, the resilience or not candidates in televised debates of the home straight: all variables that could change the situation.
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